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19/1/2022 14:00 |
 FC Goa1.52 |
X 4.10 |
East Bengal Club  5.18 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Goa x East Bengal Club:
๐ฎ FC Goa wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Goa, you can win up to $759.50!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for FC Goa x East Bengal Club
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Analysis from FC Goa x East Bengal Club for the India Super League – 19 of January
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๐๏ธ FC Goa X East Bengal Club – India Super League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Goa x East Bengal Club right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289741 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Goa x East Bengal Club
Is it worth betting on FC Goa?
๐ต FC Goa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 780 times – this would give you a profit of $404.82
- And would lose other 220 times – having a loss of -$220.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$184.82.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $434.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$426.00.
Should you bet on East Bengal Club?
๐ด East Bengal Club: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $334.40
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$585.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Goa x East Bengal Club
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC Goa
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Goa x East Bengal Club
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 FC Goa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 FC Goa.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 East Bengal Club.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Goa x East Bengal Club
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
