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19/1/2022 17:45 |
 FC Groningen2.18 |
X 3.20 |
NEC  3.10 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Groningen x NEC:
๐ฎ FC Groningen wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Groningen, you can win up to $1090.00!
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for FC Groningen x NEC
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Groningen x NEC?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Groningen x NEC, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from FC Groningen x NEC for the Netherlands Cup – 19 of January
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๐๏ธ FC Groningen X NEC – Netherlands Cup |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Groningen and NEC.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289909 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Groningen x NEC
Is it worth betting on FC Groningen?
๐ต FC Groningen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $778.80;
- And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$438.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $264.00;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$616.00.
Should you bet on NEC?
๐ด NEC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $441.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$349.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Groningen x NEC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Groningen
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Groningen x NEC
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 FC Groningen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 FC Groningen.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 NEC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Groningen x NEC
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
