FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio Betting tips for March 1 in Italy Serie C Group B
| 📅 1/3/2026 16:30 |
FC Guidonia Montecelio 19372.35 |
X 2.75 |
Gubbio ![]() 3.11 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio
Important information for your tip for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio:
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gubbio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 In the last 8 Gubbio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
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Analysis from FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio for the Italy Serie C Group B – 1 of March
🏟️ FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 X Gubbio – Italy Serie C Group B
📅 1 of March, 2026 – 16:30
🔵 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 – Winning probability: 37.71% | Fair line: 2.65
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.76% | Fair line: 3.48
🔴 Gubbio – Winning probability: 33.52% | Fair line: 2.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Odds and handicap movements for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of -2.17%, the odds for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.3 for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and now the odds are @2.25.
📊 With a variation of 3.57%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.8 for Draw and now the odds are @2.9.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Gubbio are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.1 for Gubbio and now the odds are @3.1.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of -0.25 for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The market expects more goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 1.75 and now is at 2.00 goals.
Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1488879 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Is it worth betting on FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
🔵 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $513.00
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$107.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $507.50;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.50.
Is betting on Gubbio worth it?
🔴 Gubbio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $717.40
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$57.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Gubbio.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio
Who is the favourite for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio?
According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937, with a win probability of 37.71%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!
Who will win: FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 37.71%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 beating Gubbio today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win approximately 38 of them against Gubbio.
What are the chances of Gubbio beating FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Gubbio would win about 34 of those versus FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
Which team should I bet on: FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 or Gubbio?
Our analysis did not find a clear positive expected value bet for this match. Remember to always manage your bankroll and bet responsibly: avoid staking more than 2% of your balance!
How much is FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 paying today? See what you can win by betting on FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio:
The average odds for FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to beat Gubbio today are 2.35. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2350.00 if FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Gubbio paying today? See what you can win by betting on FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 x Gubbio:
The odds for Gubbio to beat FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 today are around 3.11. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh3110.00 if Gubbio wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937