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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Hebar Pazardzhik x Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Betting tips for March 15 in Bulgaria First League
Saturday, 15 March 2025, 10h30 Bulgaria First League
FC Hebar Pazardzhik FC Hebar Pazardzhik
PREDICTION FC Hebar Pazardzhik wins Probability 30% 1 X 2
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
ODD: @3.75 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Hebar Pazardzhik x Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Betting tips for March 15 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for FC Hebar Pazardzhik x Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia, Saturday, 15/3/2025
📅 15/3/2025
10:30
FC Hebar Pazardzhik FC Hebar Pazardzhik
3.75
X
3.20
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
1.92

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Hebar Pazardzhik x Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia:

🔮 FC Hebar Pazardzhik wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Hebar Pazardzhik, you can win up to $1875.00!

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The main points for the tip for FC Hebar Pazardzhik x Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Hebar Pazardzhik in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $528.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, FC Hebar Pazardzhik conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, FC Hebar Pazardzhik conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia.
👉 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 It is not a good time for FC Hebar Pazardzhik as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on FC Hebar Pazardzhik x Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Hebar Pazardzhik x Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Hebar Pazardzhik x Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia for the Bulgaria First League – 15 of March

🏟️ FC Hebar Pazardzhik X Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia – Bulgaria First League
📅 15 of March, 2025 – 10:30
🔵 FC Hebar Pazardzhik – Winning probability: 30.43% | Fair line: 3.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.70% | Fair line: 4.41
🔴 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia – Winning probability: 46.88% | Fair line: 2.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 FC Hebar Pazardzhik
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Hebar Pazardzhik and Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Hebar Pazardzhik x Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

Is betting on FC Hebar Pazardzhik worth it?

🔵 FC Hebar Pazardzhik: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $825.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$125.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$264.00.

Is betting on Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia worth it?

🔴 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $432.40;
  • And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$97.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Hebar Pazardzhik x Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 FC Hebar Pazardzhik
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Hebar Pazardzhik x Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 FC Hebar Pazardzhik, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 FC Hebar Pazardzhik.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Hebar Pazardzhik x Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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