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22/1/2022 12:30 |
 FC Ingolstadt3.54 |
X 3.58 |
Darmstadt  1.91 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Ingolstadt x Darmstadt:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1792.50!
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for FC Ingolstadt x Darmstadt
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Analysis from FC Ingolstadt x Darmstadt for the Germany Bundesliga II – 22 of January
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๐๏ธ FC Ingolstadt X Darmstadt – Germany Bundesliga II |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Ingolstadt and Darmstadt.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Ingolstadt x Darmstadt
Is it worth betting on FC Ingolstadt?
๐ต FC Ingolstadt: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $456.30
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$363.70.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $827.20
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$147.20.
Is betting on Darmstadt worth it?
๐ด Darmstadt: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – profiting $454.75;
- And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$45.25.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Ingolstadt x Darmstadt
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Ingolstadt
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Ingolstadt x Darmstadt
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 FC Ingolstadt, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 FC Ingolstadt.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 FC Ingolstadt.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Ingolstadt x Darmstadt
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
