FC Ingolstadt x Hansa Rostock Betting tips for September 29 in Germany 3.Liga

Our betting tip for FC Ingolstadt x Hansa Rostock, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 08:30

FC Ingolstadt 2.00

X 3.50

Hansa Rostock 3.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Ingolstadt x Hansa Rostock:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Ingolstadt x Hansa Rostock

The main points for the tip for FC Ingolstadt x Hansa Rostock: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Ingolstadt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, FC Ingolstadt scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 FC Ingolstadt matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, FC Ingolstadt conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Hansa Rostock conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 FC Ingolstadt has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Hansa Rostock playing at home.

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Analysis from FC Ingolstadt x Hansa Rostock for the Germany 3.Liga – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Ingolstadt and Hansa Rostock.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Ingolstadt x Hansa Rostock

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Ingolstadt?

🔵 FC Ingolstadt: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $480.00;
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$40.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$195.00.

Is it worth betting on Hansa Rostock?

🔴 Hansa Rostock: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Ingolstadt x Hansa Rostock

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Ingolstadt
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Ingolstadt x Hansa Rostock

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 FC Ingolstadt, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 FC Ingolstadt.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Hansa Rostock.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Ingolstadt x Hansa Rostock

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.