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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Malaga City x Arenas Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 9
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 17h00 Spain Tercera Group 9
FC Malaga City FC Malaga City
PREDICTION No tip
Arenas Arenas
Don't miss this prediction!

FC Malaga City x Arenas Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 9

Our betting tip for FC Malaga City x Arenas, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
17:00
FC Malaga City FC Malaga City
2.79
X
3.20
Arenas Arenas
2.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Malaga City x Arenas:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for FC Malaga City x Arenas

The main points for the tip for FC Malaga City x Arenas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Malaga City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Malaga City conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Arenas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Malaga City x Arenas for the Spain Tercera Group 9 – 12 of January

🏟️ FC Malaga City X Arenas – Spain Tercera Group 9
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 FC Malaga City – Winning probability: 27.53% | Fair line: 3.63
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.39% | Fair line: 3.09
🔴 Arenas – Winning probability: 40.08% | Fair line: 2.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Malaga City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Malaga City x Arenas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Malaga City x Arenas

Should you bet on FC Malaga City?

🔵 FC Malaga City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $501.20
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$218.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $704.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$24.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on Arenas?

🔴 Arenas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $528.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Malaga City x Arenas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Malaga City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Malaga City x Arenas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 FC Malaga City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 FC Malaga City. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Malaga City x Arenas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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