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Home » Predictions » FC Malaga City x Motril Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 9
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h30 Spain Tercera Group 9
FC Malaga City FC Malaga City
PREDICTION Motril Wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Motril Motril
ODD: @1.45 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Malaga City x Motril Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 9

Our betting tip for FC Malaga City x Motril, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
13:30
FC Malaga City FC Malaga City
6.43
X
3.60
Motril Motril
1.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Malaga City x Motril:

🔮 Motril wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Motril, you can win up to $725.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for FC Malaga City x Motril:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Motril in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 FC Malaga City matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Malaga City conceded at least 2 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on FC Malaga City x Motril?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from FC Malaga City x Motril for the Spain Tercera Group 9 – 29 of September

🏟️ FC Malaga City X Motril – Spain Tercera Group 9
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 FC Malaga City – Winning probability: 2.87% | Fair line: 34.89
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.77% | Fair line: 6.34
🔴 Motril – Winning probability: 81.36% | Fair line: 1.23
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 FC Malaga City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on FC Malaga City x Motril is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Malaga City x Motril

Is it worth betting on FC Malaga City?

🔵 FC Malaga City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $162.90;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$807.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $416.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Motril?

🔴 Motril: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $364.50;
  • And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$174.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Malaga City x Motril

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 FC Malaga City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Malaga City x Motril

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 FC Malaga City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 FC Malaga City.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Malaga City x Motril

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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