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Home Β» Predictions Β» FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava Betting tips for September 27 in Ukraine Persha Liga
Friday, 27 September 2024, 10h00 Ukraine Persha Liga
FC Metalist 1925 FC Metalist 1925
PREDICTION No tip
SC Poltava SC Poltava
Don't miss this prediction!

FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava Betting tips for September 27 in Ukraine Persha Liga

Our betting tip for FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava, Friday, 27/9/2024
πŸ“… 27/9/2024
10:00
FC Metalist 1925 FC Metalist 1925
1.80
X
3.25
SC Poltava SC Poltava
4.04

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava

The main points for the tip for FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Metalist 1925 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-183.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Poltava in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $23.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, SC Poltava has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava for the Ukraine Persha Liga – 27 of September

🏟️ FC Metalist 1925 X SC Poltava – Ukraine Persha Liga
πŸ“… 27 of September, 2024 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ FC Metalist 1925 – Winning probability: 56.44% | Fair line: 1.77
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.22% | Fair line: 3.67
πŸ”΄ SC Poltava – Winning probability: 16.34% | Fair line: 6.12
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Metalist 1925
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1189524 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Metalist 1925?

πŸ”΅ FC Metalist 1925: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $448.00
  • And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $607.50
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$122.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Poltava?

πŸ”΄ SC Poltava: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $486.40;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$353.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Metalist 1925
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 FC Metalist 1925 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 FC Metalist 1925.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 SC Poltava.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Metalist 1925 x SC Poltava

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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