FC Minsk x Dnepr Mogilev Betting tips for September 29 in Belarus Premier League

Our betting tip for FC Minsk x Dnepr Mogilev, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:00

FC Minsk 1.81

X 3.42

Dnepr Mogilev 3.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Minsk x Dnepr Mogilev:

🔮 FC Minsk wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Minsk, you can win up to $905.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for FC Minsk x Dnepr Mogilev: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Minsk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $269.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dnepr Mogilev in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-369.0. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FC Minsk x Dnepr Mogilev, with FC Minsk as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, FC Minsk conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Dnepr Mogilev conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 FC Minsk has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Dnepr Mogilev playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Dnepr Mogilev as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from FC Minsk x Dnepr Mogilev for the Belarus Premier League – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Minsk x Dnepr Mogilev right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Minsk x Dnepr Mogilev

Is betting on FC Minsk worth it?

🔵 FC Minsk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $510.30
• And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$140.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $508.20;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$281.80.

Is betting on Dnepr Mogilev worth it?

🔴 Dnepr Mogilev: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$408.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Minsk x Dnepr Mogilev

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Minsk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Minsk x Dnepr Mogilev

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 FC Minsk, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 FC Minsk.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Minsk x Dnepr Mogilev

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.