FC Nizhny Novgorod x CSKA Moscow Betting tips for October 1 in Russia Cup

Our betting tip for FC Nizhny Novgorod x CSKA Moscow, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 14:45

FC Nizhny Novgorod 5.40

X 3.90

CSKA Moscow 1.51

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Nizhny Novgorod x CSKA Moscow:

🔮 CSKA Moscow wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CSKA Moscow, you can win up to $755.00!

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Some important points for the tip for FC Nizhny Novgorod x CSKA Moscow: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Nizhny Novgorod in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-215.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CSKA Moscow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-122.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, CSKA Moscow scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 CSKA Moscow matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 FC Nizhny Novgorod matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FC Nizhny Novgorod x CSKA Moscow, with FC Nizhny Novgorod as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, FC Nizhny Novgorod conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, FC Nizhny Novgorod conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against CSKA Moscow. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, CSKA Moscow has not lost any of them. 👉 It is not a good time for FC Nizhny Novgorod as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from FC Nizhny Novgorod x CSKA Moscow for the Russia Cup – 1 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Nizhny Novgorod x CSKA Moscow right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1192611 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Nizhny Novgorod x CSKA Moscow

Is betting on FC Nizhny Novgorod worth it?

🔵 FC Nizhny Novgorod: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 50 times – profiting $220.00;
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$730.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $203.00
• And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$727.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CSKA Moscow?

🔴 CSKA Moscow: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $448.80
• And would have lost other 120 times – with a loss of -$120.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$328.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Nizhny Novgorod x CSKA Moscow

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 FC Nizhny Novgorod
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Nizhny Novgorod x CSKA Moscow

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 FC Nizhny Novgorod, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 FC Nizhny Novgorod.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Nizhny Novgorod x CSKA Moscow

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.