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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Roskilde x HB Køge Betting tips for April 17 in Denmark Division 1
Thursday, 17 April 2025, 12h00 Denmark Division 1
FC Roskilde FC Roskilde
PREDICTION No tip
HB Køge HB Køge
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FC Roskilde x HB Køge Betting tips for April 17 in Denmark Division 1

Our betting tip for FC Roskilde x HB Køge, Thursday, 17/4/2025
📅 17/4/2025
12:00
FC Roskilde FC Roskilde
2.25
X
3.30
HB Køge HB Køge
2.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Roskilde x HB Køge:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Roskilde x HB Køge

Important information for your tip for FC Roskilde x HB Køge:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Roskilde in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on HB Køge in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Roskilde scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, HB Køge scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 FC Roskilde matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, FC Roskilde conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, HB Køge conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, FC Roskilde conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against HB Køge.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, HB Køge has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Roskilde x HB Køge for the Denmark Division 1 – 17 of April

🏟️ FC Roskilde X HB Køge – Denmark Division 1
📅 17 of April, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 FC Roskilde – Winning probability: 37.66% | Fair line: 2.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.51% | Fair line: 4.08
🔴 HB Køge – Winning probability: 37.83% | Fair line: 2.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Roskilde
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on FC Roskilde x HB Køge is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1305181 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Roskilde x HB Køge

Is betting on FC Roskilde worth it?

🔵 FC Roskilde: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$145.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $575.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is betting on HB Køge worth it?

🔴 HB Køge: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $722.00;
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$102.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Roskilde x HB Køge

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Roskilde
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Roskilde x HB Køge

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 FC Roskilde and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 FC Roskilde. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Roskilde x HB Køge

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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