FC Salzburg x Bayern Munich Betting tips for January 6 in Club Friendly List
| 📅 6/1/2025 17:00 |
 FC Salzburg8.00 |
X 5.80 |
Bayern Munich  1.27 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Salzburg x Bayern Munich:
🔮 Bayern Munich wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayern Munich, you can win up to $635.00!
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The main points for the tip for FC Salzburg x Bayern Munich: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Salzburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-235.0. |
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Analysis from FC Salzburg x Bayern Munich for the Club Friendly List – 6 of January
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🏟️ FC Salzburg X Bayern Munich – Club Friendly List |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Salzburg x Bayern Munich right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242357 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Salzburg x Bayern Munich
Should you bet on FC Salzburg?
🔵 FC Salzburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $70.00;
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$920.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $48.00
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$942.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Bayern Munich?
🔴 Bayern Munich: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 97.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $264.60
- And would lose other 20 times – having a loss of -$20.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$244.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Salzburg x Bayern Munich
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 FC Salzburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Salzburg x Bayern Munich
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 FC Salzburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 FC Salzburg.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Salzburg x Bayern Munich
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
