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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada Betting tips for April 13 in Andorra Premier Division
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 16h30 Andorra Premier Division
FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma
PREDICTION FC Santa Coloma wins Probability 92% 1 X 2
Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada
ODD: @1.29 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada Betting tips for April 13 in Andorra Premier Division

Our betting tip for FC Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
16:30
FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma
1.29
X
4.60
Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada
8.12

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada:

🔮 FC Santa Coloma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Santa Coloma, you can win up to $645.00!

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Some important points for the tip for FC Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Santa Coloma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-252.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Penya Encarnada in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-42.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Penya Encarnada conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, FC Santa Coloma conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Penya Encarnada.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada for the Andorra Premier Division – 13 of April

🏟️ FC Santa Coloma X Penya Encarnada – Andorra Premier Division
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 FC Santa Coloma – Winning probability: 92.03% | Fair line: 1.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.60% | Fair line: 15.15
🔴 Penya Encarnada – Winning probability: 1.37% | Fair line: 73.14
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 FC Santa Coloma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Santa Coloma and Penya Encarnada.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302187 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada

Is it worth betting on FC Santa Coloma?

🔵 FC Santa Coloma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 92.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 920 times – having a profit of $266.80;
  • And would lose other 80 times – having a loss of -$80.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$186.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $252.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$678.00.

Is it worth betting on Penya Encarnada?

🔴 Penya Encarnada: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $71.20
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$918.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 FC Santa Coloma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 FC Santa Coloma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 FC Santa Coloma.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 FC Santa Coloma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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