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Home » Predictions » FC Struga Trim & Lum x FK Gostivar Betting tips for September 29 in North Macedonia First League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 North Macedonia First League
FC Struga Trim & Lum FC Struga Trim & Lum
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
FK Gostivar FK Gostivar
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Struga Trim & Lum x FK Gostivar Betting tips for September 29 in North Macedonia First League

Our betting tip for FC Struga Trim & Lum x FK Gostivar, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
09:00
FC Struga Trim & Lum FC Struga Trim & Lum
2.00
X
3.10
FK Gostivar FK Gostivar
3.52

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Struga Trim & Lum x FK Gostivar:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for FC Struga Trim & Lum x FK Gostivar:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Struga Trim & Lum in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $137.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Gostivar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $311.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FC Struga Trim & Lum x FK Gostivar, with FC Struga Trim & Lum as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, FK Gostivar has not lost any of them.
👉 FC Struga Trim & Lum has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against FK Gostivar playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Struga Trim & Lum x FK Gostivar for the North Macedonia First League – 29 of September

🏟️ FC Struga Trim & Lum X FK Gostivar – North Macedonia First League
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
🔵 FC Struga Trim & Lum – Winning probability: 42.95% | Fair line: 2.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.47% | Fair line: 2.74
🔴 FK Gostivar – Winning probability: 20.58% | Fair line: 4.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Struga Trim & Lum
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on FC Struga Trim & Lum x FK Gostivar is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Struga Trim & Lum x FK Gostivar

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Struga Trim & Lum?

🔵 FC Struga Trim & Lum: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $430.00;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$140.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$116.00.

Is it worth betting on FK Gostivar?

🔴 FK Gostivar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $529.20;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$260.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Struga Trim & Lum x FK Gostivar

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Struga Trim & Lum
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Struga Trim & Lum x FK Gostivar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 FC Struga Trim & Lum, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 FC Struga Trim & Lum.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FC Struga Trim & Lum.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Struga Trim & Lum x FK Gostivar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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