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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka Betting tips for September 29 in Hungary NB II
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Hungary NB II
FC Tatabanya FC Tatabanya
PREDICTION No tip
FC Ajka FC Ajka
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FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka Betting tips for September 29 in Hungary NB II

Our betting tip for FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
FC Tatabanya FC Tatabanya
2.68
X
3.25
FC Ajka FC Ajka
2.38

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka

The main points for the tip for FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Tatabanya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Ajka in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, FC Ajka scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 FC Ajka matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, FC Tatabanya conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, FC Ajka conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for FC Tatabanya as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka:

Analysis from FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka for the Hungary NB II – 29 of September

🏟️ FC Tatabanya X FC Ajka – Hungary NB II
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ FC Tatabanya – Winning probability: 27.87% | Fair line: 3.59
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.67% | Fair line: 3.61
πŸ”΄ FC Ajka – Winning probability: 44.46% | Fair line: 2.25
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 FC Tatabanya
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Tatabanya and FC Ajka.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka

Is betting on FC Tatabanya worth it?

πŸ”΅ FC Tatabanya: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $470.40
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$249.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$90.00.

Is betting on FC Ajka worth it?

πŸ”΄ FC Ajka: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $607.20;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$47.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 FC Tatabanya
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 FC Tatabanya, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 FC Tatabanya.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 FC Ajka.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Tatabanya x FC Ajka

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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