FC Telavi x Torpedo Kutaisi Betting tips for September 30 in Georgia Erovnuli Liga

Our betting tip for FC Telavi x Torpedo Kutaisi, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 12:00

FC Telavi 3.62

X 3.10

Torpedo Kutaisi 1.94

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Telavi x Torpedo Kutaisi:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for FC Telavi x Torpedo Kutaisi

The main points for the tip for FC Telavi x Torpedo Kutaisi: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Telavi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Torpedo Kutaisi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-33.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Torpedo Kutaisi scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, FC Telavi conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Torpedo Kutaisi has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from FC Telavi x Torpedo Kutaisi for the Georgia Erovnuli Liga – 30 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Telavi and Torpedo Kutaisi.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Telavi x Torpedo Kutaisi

Is betting on FC Telavi worth it?

🔵 FC Telavi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $576.40;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$203.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $693.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$23.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Torpedo Kutaisi?

🔴 Torpedo Kutaisi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $413.60;
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$146.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Telavi x Torpedo Kutaisi

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 FC Telavi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Telavi x Torpedo Kutaisi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 FC Telavi, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 FC Telavi. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Telavi x Torpedo Kutaisi

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.