📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for FC Twente x AZ
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Analysis from FC Twente x AZ for the Netherlands Cup – 19 of January
🏟️ FC Twente X AZ – Netherlands Cup
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Twente and AZ.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289909 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Twente x AZ
Is it worth betting on FC Twente?
🔵 FC Twente: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $335.25;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$484.75.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $376.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$464.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on AZ?
🔴 AZ: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $821.70;
- And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$481.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Twente x AZ
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Twente x AZ
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 FC Twente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 FC Twente.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Twente x AZ
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Besides the artificial intelligence that you have here, our sporting bets experts are on YouTube searching for the best bets for Wednesday. Right above you can check our last analysis and be a part of the community by subscribing on our betting tips channel on YouTube.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves