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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» FC Urartu x FC Noah Betting tips for September 29 in Armenia Premier League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 Armenia Premier League
FC Urartu FC Urartu
PREDICTION No tip
FC Noah FC Noah
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FC Urartu x FC Noah Betting tips for September 29 in Armenia Premier League

Our betting tip for FC Urartu x FC Noah, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
12:00
FC Urartu FC Urartu
2.36
X
3.20
FC Noah FC Noah
2.72

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Urartu x FC Noah:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Urartu x FC Noah

Some important points for the tip for FC Urartu x FC Noah:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Urartu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $31.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Noah in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-364.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Urartu scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, FC Noah scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FC Urartu x FC Noah, with FC Urartu as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, FC Noah conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Urartu x FC Noah for the Armenia Premier League – 29 of September

🏟️ FC Urartu X FC Noah – Armenia Premier League
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ FC Urartu – Winning probability: 27.83% | Fair line: 3.59
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.66% | Fair line: 3.26
πŸ”΄ FC Noah – Winning probability: 41.50% | Fair line: 2.41
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Urartu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Urartu x FC Noah right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Urartu x FC Noah

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Urartu?

πŸ”΅ FC Urartu: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $380.80;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$339.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $682.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$8.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Noah?

πŸ”΄ FC Noah: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $722.40
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$142.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Urartu x FC Noah

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Urartu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Urartu x FC Noah

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 FC Urartu and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FC Urartu.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 FC Noah.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Urartu x FC Noah

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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