FC Vado x ASDC Gozzano Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for FC Vado x ASDC Gozzano, Wednesday, 2/10/2024

📅 2/10/2024 10:00

FC Vado 2.10

X 3.10

ASDC Gozzano 3.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Vado x ASDC Gozzano:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Vado x ASDC Gozzano

Important information for your tip for FC Vado x ASDC Gozzano: 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, FC Vado scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, ASDC Gozzano scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, ASDC Gozzano conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 FC Vado is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 FC Vado has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against ASDC Gozzano playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on FC Vado x ASDC Gozzano?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from FC Vado x ASDC Gozzano for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October

When the best bet on FC Vado x ASDC Gozzano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Vado x ASDC Gozzano

Is it worth betting on FC Vado?

🔵 FC Vado: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $451.00
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$139.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $651.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$39.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on ASDC Gozzano?

🔴 ASDC Gozzano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$163.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Vado x ASDC Gozzano

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Vado
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Vado x ASDC Gozzano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 FC Vado and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FC Vado.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 FC Vado.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Vado x ASDC Gozzano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.