📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for FC Wegberg-Beeck x VfB Homberg
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Analysis from FC Wegberg-Beeck x VfB Homberg for the Germany Regionalliga West – 22 of January
🏟️ FC Wegberg-Beeck X VfB Homberg – Germany Regionalliga West
When the best bet on FC Wegberg-Beeck x VfB Homberg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Wegberg-Beeck x VfB Homberg
Is it worth betting on FC Wegberg-Beeck?
🔵 FC Wegberg-Beeck: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 490 times – profiting $531.65;
- And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$21.65. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $587.50;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$162.50.
Is betting on VfB Homberg worth it?
🔴 VfB Homberg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.01. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $522.60;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$217.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Wegberg-Beeck x VfB Homberg
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Wegberg-Beeck
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Wegberg-Beeck x VfB Homberg
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 FC Wegberg-Beeck, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 FC Wegberg-Beeck.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FC Wegberg-Beeck.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Wegberg-Beeck x VfB Homberg
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves