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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Zurich x Basel Betting tips for February 2 in Switzerland Super League
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 15h30 Switzerland Super League
FC Zurich FC Zurich
PREDICTION No tip
Basel Basel
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FC Zurich x Basel Betting tips for February 2 in Switzerland Super League

Our betting tip for FC Zurich x Basel, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
15:30
FC Zurich FC Zurich
3.05
X
3.30
Basel Basel
2.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Zurich x Basel:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Zurich x Basel

Important information for your tip for FC Zurich x Basel:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Basel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-173.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Basel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Basel conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Basel has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Zurich x Basel for the Switzerland Super League – 2 of February

🏟️ FC Zurich X Basel – Switzerland Super League
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 FC Zurich – Winning probability: 21.48% | Fair line: 4.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.57% | Fair line: 3.63
🔴 Basel – Winning probability: 50.95% | Fair line: 1.96
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Zurich
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Zurich x Basel right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Zurich x Basel

Is it worth betting on FC Zurich?

🔵 FC Zurich: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $430.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$359.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $644.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is betting on Basel worth it?

🔴 Basel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $612.00
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$122.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Zurich x Basel

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Zurich
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Zurich x Basel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 FC Zurich and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 FC Zurich.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Zurich x Basel

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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