FCV Dender EH x Standard Liege Betting tips for April 13 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for FCV Dender EH x Standard Liege, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025
17:15

FCV Dender EH
2.30

X
3.25

Standard Liege

3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FCV Dender EH x Standard Liege:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FCV Dender EH x Standard Liege

Some important points for the tip for FCV Dender EH x Standard Liege:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FCV Dender EH in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $23.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Standard Liege in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $350.0.
👉 In the last 3 FCV Dender EH matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Standard Liege conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Summary

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Analysis from FCV Dender EH x Standard Liege for the Belgium First Division A – 13 of April

🏟️ FCV Dender EH X Standard Liege – Belgium First Division A
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 17:15
🔵 FCV Dender EH – Winning probability: 42.28% | Fair line: 2.37
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.58% | Fair line: 3.76
🔴 Standard Liege – Winning probability: 31.14% | Fair line: 3.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FCV Dender EH
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FCV Dender EH and Standard Liege.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FCV Dender EH x Standard Liege

Is betting on FCV Dender EH worth it?

🔵 FCV Dender EH: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$34.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 270 times – profiting $607.50;
And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$122.50.

Is it worth betting on Standard Liege?

🔴 Standard Liege: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 310 times – profiting $620.00;
And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match FCV Dender EH x Standard Liege

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FCV Dender EH
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FCV Dender EH x Standard Liege

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 FCV Dender EH and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 FCV Dender EH.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FCV Dender EH.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FCV Dender EH x Standard Liege

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.