FE Grama x Badalona Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 5

Our betting tip for FE Grama x Badalona, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 10:45

FE Grama 2.15

X 3.20

Badalona 3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FE Grama x Badalona:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for FE Grama x Badalona

The main points for the tip for FE Grama x Badalona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FE Grama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Badalona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Badalona, FE Grama scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Badalona conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 FE Grama has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Badalona playing at home.

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Analysis from FE Grama x Badalona for the Spain Tercera Group 5 – 1 of December

When the best bet on FE Grama x Badalona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FE Grama x Badalona

Is it worth betting on FE Grama?

🔵 FE Grama: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $425.50
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$204.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $726.00;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$56.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on Badalona?

🔴 Badalona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $600.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match FE Grama x Badalona

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FE Grama
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FE Grama x Badalona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 FE Grama and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 FE Grama.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Badalona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FE Grama x Badalona

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.