Ferro Carril Oeste x Gimnasia y Tiro Betting tips for July 5 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Ferro Carril Oeste x Gimnasia y Tiro, Saturday, 5/7/2025

📅 5/7/2025 22:00

Ferro Carril Oeste 1.93

X 2.80

Gimnasia y Tiro 4.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ferro Carril Oeste x Gimnasia y Tiro:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Ferro Carril Oeste x Gimnasia y Tiro

Important information for your tip for Ferro Carril Oeste x Gimnasia y Tiro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ferro Carril Oeste in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimnasia y Tiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Gimnasia y Tiro did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 Ferro Carril Oeste matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Gimnasia y Tiro matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Ferro Carril Oeste x Gimnasia y Tiro for the Argentina Nacional B – 5 of July

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ferro Carril Oeste and Gimnasia y Tiro.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348834 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ferro Carril Oeste x Gimnasia y Tiro

Should you bet on Ferro Carril Oeste?

🔵 Ferro Carril Oeste: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $483.60
• And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$3.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $648.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Gimnasia y Tiro?

🔴 Gimnasia y Tiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $408.00
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$472.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ferro Carril Oeste x Gimnasia y Tiro

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Ferro Carril Oeste
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ferro Carril Oeste x Gimnasia y Tiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Ferro Carril Oeste and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Ferro Carril Oeste.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Ferro Carril Oeste.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ferro Carril Oeste x Gimnasia y Tiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.