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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Ferrocarril Midland x Villa San Carlos Betting tips for April 12 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 18h30 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Ferrocarril Midland Ferrocarril Midland
PREDICTION No tip
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
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Ferrocarril Midland x Villa San Carlos Betting tips for April 12 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Ferrocarril Midland x Villa San Carlos, Saturday, 12/4/2025
πŸ“… 12/4/2025
18:30
Ferrocarril Midland Ferrocarril Midland
2.05
X
2.96
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ferrocarril Midland x Villa San Carlos:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Ferrocarril Midland x Villa San Carlos

Some important points for the tip for Ferrocarril Midland x Villa San Carlos:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ferrocarril Midland in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-5.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Villa San Carlos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $65.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Villa San Carlos, Ferrocarril Midland scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Villa San Carlos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Villa San Carlos as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Ferrocarril Midland x Villa San Carlos for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 12 of April

🏟️ Ferrocarril Midland X Villa San Carlos – Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
πŸ“… 12 of April, 2025 – 18:30
πŸ”΅ Ferrocarril Midland – Winning probability: 55.14% | Fair line: 1.81
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.90% | Fair line: 3.13
πŸ”΄ Villa San Carlos – Winning probability: 12.96% | Fair line: 7.71
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ferrocarril Midland
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ferrocarril Midland and Villa San Carlos.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ferrocarril Midland x Villa San Carlos

Is it worth betting on Ferrocarril Midland?

πŸ”΅ Ferrocarril Midland: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $577.50;
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$127.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $627.20;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$52.80.

Should you bet on Villa San Carlos?

πŸ”΄ Villa San Carlos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $325.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$545.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ferrocarril Midland x Villa San Carlos

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ferrocarril Midland
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ferrocarril Midland x Villa San Carlos

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Ferrocarril Midland and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Ferrocarril Midland.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ferrocarril Midland x Villa San Carlos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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