Ferroviaria SP x Atletico GO Betting tips for April 18 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Ferroviaria SP x Atletico GO, Friday, 18/4/2025

📅 18/4/2025
00:00

Ferroviaria SP
2.40

X
3.00

Atletico GO

2.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ferroviaria SP x Atletico GO:

🔮 Atletico GO wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico GO, you can win up to $1450.00!

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Important information for your tip for Ferroviaria SP x Atletico GO:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ferroviaria SP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico GO in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Ferroviaria SP scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico GO scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Atletico GO conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Atletico GO is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.

Summary

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Analysis from Ferroviaria SP x Atletico GO for the Brazil Serie B – 18 of April

🏟️ Ferroviaria SP X Atletico GO – Brazil Serie B
📅 18 of April, 2025 – 00:00
🔵 Ferroviaria SP – Winning probability: 32.86% | Fair line: 3.04
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.24% | Fair line: 3.42
🔴 Atletico GO – Winning probability: 37.90% | Fair line: 2.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ferroviaria SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Ferroviaria SP x Atletico GO is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1305782 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ferroviaria SP x Atletico GO

Is it a good idea to bet on Ferroviaria SP?

🔵 Ferroviaria SP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 330 times – profiting $462.00;
And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $580.00;
And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$130.00.

Should you bet on Atletico GO?

🔴 Atletico GO: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $722.00
And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$102.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ferroviaria SP x Atletico GO

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ferroviaria SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ferroviaria SP x Atletico GO

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Ferroviaria SP, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Ferroviaria SP.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Ferroviaria SP.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ferroviaria SP x Atletico GO

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.