Ferroviaria SP U20 x CEFAT Tirol U20 Betting tips for January 6 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
| 📅 6/1/2025 20:15 |
 Ferroviaria SP U201.67 |
X 3.60 |
CEFAT Tirol U20  4.24 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ferroviaria SP U20 x CEFAT Tirol U20:
🔮 Ferroviaria SP U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ferroviaria SP U20, you can win up to $835.00!
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The main points for the tip for Ferroviaria SP U20 x CEFAT Tirol U20: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ferroviaria SP U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $263.0. |
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Analysis from Ferroviaria SP U20 x CEFAT Tirol U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 6 of January
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🏟️ Ferroviaria SP U20 X CEFAT Tirol U20 – Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ferroviaria SP U20 x CEFAT Tirol U20 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242986 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ferroviaria SP U20 x CEFAT Tirol U20
Is betting on Ferroviaria SP U20 worth it?
🔵 Ferroviaria SP U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $495.80
- And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$235.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $338.00;
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$532.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on CEFAT Tirol U20?
🔴 CEFAT Tirol U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $421.20;
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$448.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ferroviaria SP U20 x CEFAT Tirol U20
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Ferroviaria SP U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ferroviaria SP U20 x CEFAT Tirol U20
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Ferroviaria SP U20, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Ferroviaria SP U20.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ferroviaria SP U20 x CEFAT Tirol U20
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
