| π
16/1/2022 10:00 |
 Fethiyespor1.93 |
X 3.25 |
Turk Metal Kirikkalespor  3.67 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fethiyespor x Turk Metal Kirikkalespor:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Fethiyespor x Turk Metal Kirikkalespor
π Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Fethiyespor x Turk Metal Kirikkalespor
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Analysis from Fethiyespor x Turk Metal Kirikkalespor for the Turkey 3.Lig Group 3 – 16 of January
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ποΈ Fethiyespor X Turk Metal Kirikkalespor – Turkey 3.Lig Group 3 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fethiyespor and Turk Metal Kirikkalespor.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Fethiyespor x Turk Metal Kirikkalespor
Is it worth betting on Fethiyespor?
π΅ Fethiyespor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 510 times – profiting $474.30;
- And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$15.70.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $585.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$155.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Turk Metal Kirikkalespor?
π΄ Turk Metal Kirikkalespor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $614.10
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$155.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fethiyespor x Turk Metal Kirikkalespor
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fethiyespor
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fethiyespor x Turk Metal Kirikkalespor
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Fethiyespor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Fethiyespor.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Turk Metal Kirikkalespor.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fethiyespor x Turk Metal Kirikkalespor
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
