Fezzanese x San Donato Tavarnelle Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Fezzanese x San Donato Tavarnelle, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 13:30

Fezzanese 3.29

X 3.12

San Donato Tavarnelle 2.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fezzanese x San Donato Tavarnelle:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Fezzanese x San Donato Tavarnelle

The main points for the tip for Fezzanese x San Donato Tavarnelle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fezzanese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on San Donato Tavarnelle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Fezzanese conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 road matches, San Donato Tavarnelle has not lost any of them. 👉 It is not a good time for Fezzanese as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Fezzanese x San Donato Tavarnelle for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fezzanese and San Donato Tavarnelle.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fezzanese x San Donato Tavarnelle

Is it a good idea to bet on Fezzanese?

🔵 Fezzanese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $480.90;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$309.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $593.60;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$126.40.

Is it worth betting on San Donato Tavarnelle?

🔴 San Donato Tavarnelle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 510 times – profiting $535.50;
• And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$45.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fezzanese x San Donato Tavarnelle

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Fezzanese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fezzanese x San Donato Tavarnelle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Fezzanese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Fezzanese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 San Donato Tavarnelle.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fezzanese x San Donato Tavarnelle

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.