Fidelis Andria x Virtus Francavilla Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 29/9/2024 10:00 |
 Fidelis Andria3.10 |
X 3.18 |
Virtus Francavilla  2.15 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fidelis Andria x Virtus Francavilla:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Fidelis Andria x Virtus Francavilla
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Some important points for the tip for Fidelis Andria x Virtus Francavilla: 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Virtus Francavilla scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Fidelis Andria x Virtus Francavilla for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September
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🏟️ Fidelis Andria X Virtus Francavilla – Italy Serie D |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fidelis Andria x Virtus Francavilla right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Fidelis Andria x Virtus Francavilla
Should you bet on Fidelis Andria?
🔵 Fidelis Andria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $462.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$318.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $675.80
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on Virtus Francavilla?
🔴 Virtus Francavilla: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 470 times – profiting $540.50;
- And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fidelis Andria x Virtus Francavilla
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Fidelis Andria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fidelis Andria x Virtus Francavilla
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Fidelis Andria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Fidelis Andria.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Fidelis Andria.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fidelis Andria x Virtus Francavilla
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
