Figueirense x Ponte Preta Betting tips for April 12 in Brazil Serie C

Our betting tip for Figueirense x Ponte Preta, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 19:00

Figueirense 2.18

X 3.00

Ponte Preta 3.29

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Figueirense x Ponte Preta:

🔮 Ponte Preta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ponte Preta, you can win up to $1645.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Figueirense x Ponte Preta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Figueirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $24.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ponte Preta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1145.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Figueirense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ponte Preta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Ponte Preta matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Ponte Preta conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Figueirense conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Ponte Preta. 👉 Even as a visitor, Ponte Preta won the last 3 head-to-head matches Figueirense´s territory

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Figueirense x Ponte Preta?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Figueirense x Ponte Preta, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Figueirense x Ponte Preta for the Brazil Serie C – 12 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Figueirense and Ponte Preta.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Figueirense x Ponte Preta

Is betting on Figueirense worth it?

🔵 Figueirense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 400 times – profiting $472.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$128.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $380.00
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is betting on Ponte Preta worth it?

🔴 Ponte Preta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $938.90;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$348.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match Figueirense x Ponte Preta

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Figueirense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Figueirense x Ponte Preta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Figueirense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Figueirense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Figueirense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Figueirense x Ponte Preta

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.