Fiorentina x Panathinaikos Betting tips for March 13 in UEFA Conference League
| 📅 13/3/2025 20:00 |
 Fiorentina1.61 |
X 3.74 |
Panathinaikos  5.25 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fiorentina x Panathinaikos:
🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $805.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Fiorentina x Panathinaikos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Panathinaikos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Fiorentina x Panathinaikos for the UEFA Conference League – 13 of March
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🏟️ Fiorentina X Panathinaikos – UEFA Conference League |
When the best bet on Fiorentina x Panathinaikos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1280623 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Panathinaikos
Is it worth betting on Fiorentina?
🔵 Fiorentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $445.30
- And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$175.30.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $602.80;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$177.20.
Is betting on Panathinaikos worth it?
🔴 Panathinaikos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $255.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$685.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x Panathinaikos
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Panathinaikos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Fiorentina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Fiorentina.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x Panathinaikos
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
