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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Fiorentina x T.N.S. Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Conference League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Conference League
Fiorentina Fiorentina
PREDICTION No tip
T.N.S. T.N.S.
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Fiorentina x T.N.S. Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Conference League

Our betting tip for Fiorentina x T.N.S., Thursday, 3/10/2024
πŸ“… 3/10/2024
16:00
Fiorentina Fiorentina
1.06
X
12.50
T.N.S. T.N.S.
26.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fiorentina x T.N.S.:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Fiorentina x T.N.S.

Important information for your tip for Fiorentina x T.N.S.:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-113.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on T.N.S. in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $115.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, T.N.S. scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Fiorentina x T.N.S. for the UEFA Conference League – 3 of October

🏟️ Fiorentina X T.N.S. – UEFA Conference League
πŸ“… 3 of October, 2024 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Fiorentina – Winning probability: 99.43% | Fair line: 1.01
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.14% | Fair line: 696.23
πŸ”΄ T.N.S. – Winning probability: 0.42% | Fair line: 236.4
βš– Handicap 1×2: -2.75 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Fiorentina x T.N.S. is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194241 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fiorentina x T.N.S.

Is betting on Fiorentina worth it?

πŸ”΅ Fiorentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $59.40;
  • And would lose other 10 times – losing -$10.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$49.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$1000.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on T.N.S.?

πŸ”΄ T.N.S.: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 26.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x T.N.S.

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -2.75 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x T.N.S.

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.75 Fiorentina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.75 Fiorentina.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x T.N.S.

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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