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Home Β» Predictions Β» Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20 Betting tips for September 30 in Italy Campionato Primavera 1
Monday, 30 September 2024, 13h30 Italy Campionato Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20
PREDICTION No tip
Roma U20 Roma U20
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Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20 Betting tips for September 30 in Italy Campionato Primavera 1

Our betting tip for Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20, Monday, 30/9/2024
πŸ“… 30/9/2024
13:30
Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20
2.88
X
3.60
Roma U20 Roma U20
2.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20

Important information for your tip for Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Roma U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Fiorentina U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Roma U20, Fiorentina U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 Fiorentina U20 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Roma U20 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20, with Fiorentina U20 as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Fiorentina U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Roma U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Fiorentina U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Roma U20.

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Summary

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Analysis from Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20 for the Italy Campionato Primavera 1 – 30 of September

🏟️ Fiorentina U20 X Roma U20 – Italy Campionato Primavera 1
πŸ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Fiorentina U20 – Winning probability: 29.59% | Fair line: 3.38
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.24% | Fair line: 4.13
πŸ”΄ Roma U20 – Winning probability: 46.18% | Fair line: 2.17
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Fiorentina U20
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191189 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20

Is it a good idea to bet on Fiorentina U20?

πŸ”΅ Fiorentina U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $564.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$136.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $624.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$136.00.

Is it worth betting on Roma U20?

πŸ”΄ Roma U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $483.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$57.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Fiorentina U20
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Fiorentina U20, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Fiorentina U20.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina U20 x Roma U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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