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Fiorentina Women x Sassuolo Women Betting tips for January 16 in Italy Serie A Women

Our betting tip for Fiorentina Women x Sassuolo Women, Sunday, 16/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 16/1/2022
11:30
Fiorentina Women
2.95
X
3.85
Sassuolo Women
1.97

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fiorentina Women x Sassuolo Women:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sassuolo Women wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sassuolo Women, you can win up to $985.00!

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๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Fiorentina Women x Sassuolo Women

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Analysis from Fiorentina Women x Sassuolo Women for the Italy Serie A Women – 16 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Fiorentina Women X Sassuolo Women – Italy Serie A Women
๐Ÿ“… 16 of January, 2022 – 11:30
๐Ÿ”ต Fiorentina Women – Winning probability: 18.79% | Fair line: 5.32
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.22% | Fair line: 5.2
๐Ÿ”ด Sassuolo Women – Winning probability: 61.99% | Fair line: 1.61
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Fiorentina Women
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fiorentina Women x Sassuolo Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fiorentina Women x Sassuolo Women

Is it a good idea to bet on Fiorentina Women?

๐Ÿ”ต Fiorentina Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $370.50
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$439.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $541.50
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$268.50.

Is it worth betting on Sassuolo Women?

๐Ÿ”ด Sassuolo Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.97. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $601.40
  • And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$221.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina Women x Sassuolo Women

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Fiorentina Women
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina Women x Sassuolo Women

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Fiorentina Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Fiorentina Women.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Fiorentina Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina Women x Sassuolo Women

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves