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Home » Predictions » Others » FK Backa Topola x Crvena Zvezda Betting tips for February 2 in Serbia Super Liga
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 15h00 Serbia Super Liga
FK Backa Topola FK Backa Topola
PREDICTION Crvena Zvezda Wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
ODD: @1.43 Don't miss this prediction!

FK Backa Topola x Crvena Zvezda Betting tips for February 2 in Serbia Super Liga

Our betting tip for FK Backa Topola x Crvena Zvezda, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
15:00
FK Backa Topola FK Backa Topola
6.00
X
4.40
Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
1.43

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FK Backa Topola x Crvena Zvezda:

🔮 Crvena Zvezda wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crvena Zvezda, you can win up to $715.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for FK Backa Topola x Crvena Zvezda:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Backa Topola in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $416.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crvena Zvezda in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $98.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, FK Backa Topola scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Crvena Zvezda scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 FK Backa Topola matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between FK Backa Topola x Crvena Zvezda, with FK Backa Topola as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, FK Backa Topola conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, FK Backa Topola conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Crvena Zvezda.
👉 Crvena Zvezda is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, Crvena Zvezda won the last 5 head-to-head matches FK Backa Topola´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from FK Backa Topola x Crvena Zvezda for the Serbia Super Liga – 2 of February

🏟️ FK Backa Topola X Crvena Zvezda – Serbia Super Liga
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 FK Backa Topola – Winning probability: 6.57% | Fair line: 15.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.81% | Fair line: 6.32
🔴 Crvena Zvezda – Winning probability: 77.62% | Fair line: 1.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 FK Backa Topola
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FK Backa Topola and Crvena Zvezda.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Backa Topola x Crvena Zvezda

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Backa Topola?

🔵 FK Backa Topola: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $350.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$296.00.

Is it worth betting on Crvena Zvezda?

🔴 Crvena Zvezda: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $335.40;
  • And would lose other 220 times – having a loss of -$220.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$115.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match FK Backa Topola x Crvena Zvezda

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 FK Backa Topola
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Backa Topola x Crvena Zvezda

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.25 FK Backa Topola, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 FK Backa Topola.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Crvena Zvezda.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Backa Topola x Crvena Zvezda

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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