FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x Sokol Saratov Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Division 1
| 📅 29/9/2024 12:00 |
 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk1.85 |
X 3.22 |
Sokol Saratov  3.98 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x Sokol Saratov:
🔮 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk, you can win up to $925.00!
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The main points for the tip for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x Sokol Saratov: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $239.0. |
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Analysis from FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x Sokol Saratov for the Russia Division 1 – 29 of September
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🏟️ FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk X Sokol Saratov – Russia Division 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk and Sokol Saratov.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x Sokol Saratov
Is betting on FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk worth it?
🔵 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 620 times – profiting $527.00;
- And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$147.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $510.60
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$259.40.
Is betting on Sokol Saratov worth it?
🔴 Sokol Saratov: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $447.00
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$403.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x Sokol Saratov
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x Sokol Saratov
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Sokol Saratov.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x Sokol Saratov
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
