FK Dainava Alytus x FK Dziugas Telsiai Betting tips for July 6 in Lithuania A Lyga

Our betting tip for FK Dainava Alytus x FK Dziugas Telsiai, Sunday, 6/7/2025

📅 6/7/2025 13:45

FK Dainava Alytus 2.89

X 3.30

FK Dziugas Telsiai 2.34

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FK Dainava Alytus x FK Dziugas Telsiai:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FK Dainava Alytus x FK Dziugas Telsiai

The main points for the tip for FK Dainava Alytus x FK Dziugas Telsiai:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Dainava Alytus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 In the last 5 FK Dainava Alytus matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, FK Dainava Alytus conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from FK Dainava Alytus x FK Dziugas Telsiai for the Lithuania A Lyga – 6 of July

When the best bet on FK Dainava Alytus x FK Dziugas Telsiai is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348919 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Dainava Alytus x FK Dziugas Telsiai

Is it worth betting on FK Dainava Alytus?

🔵 FK Dainava Alytus: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $453.60;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$306.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $575.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Should you bet on FK Dziugas Telsiai?

🔴 FK Dziugas Telsiai: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $683.40
• And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$193.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match FK Dainava Alytus x FK Dziugas Telsiai

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FK Dainava Alytus
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Dainava Alytus x FK Dziugas Telsiai

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 FK Dainava Alytus, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 FK Dainava Alytus.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 FK Dziugas Telsiai.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Dainava Alytus x FK Dziugas Telsiai

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.