FK Dubocica x Sloboda Uzice Betting tips for April 14 in Serbia Prva Liga
| 📅 14/4/2025 16:00 |
 FK Dubocica1.83 |
X 3.22 |
Sloboda Uzice  4.15 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for FK Dubocica x Sloboda Uzice:
🔮 FK Dubocica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Dubocica, you can win up to $915.00!
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Important information for your tip for FK Dubocica x Sloboda Uzice: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Dubocica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-173.0. |
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Analysis from FK Dubocica x Sloboda Uzice for the Serbia Prva Liga – 14 of April
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🏟️ FK Dubocica X Sloboda Uzice – Serbia Prva Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FK Dubocica x Sloboda Uzice right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1303016 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Dubocica x Sloboda Uzice
Is betting on FK Dubocica worth it?
🔵 FK Dubocica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $539.50
- And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$189.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $466.20;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$323.80.
Should you bet on Sloboda Uzice?
🔴 Sloboda Uzice: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $409.50;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match FK Dubocica x Sloboda Uzice
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FK Dubocica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Dubocica x Sloboda Uzice
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 FK Dubocica and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 FK Dubocica.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 FK Dubocica.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Dubocica x Sloboda Uzice
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
