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FK Egnatia x Partizani Tirana Betting tips for January 16 in Albania Championship

Our betting tip for FK Egnatia x Partizani Tirana, Sunday, 16/1/2022
πŸ“… 16/1/2022
12:45
FK Egnatia
4.48
X
2.90
Partizani Tirana
1.85

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FK Egnatia x Partizani Tirana:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for FK Egnatia x Partizani Tirana

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for FK Egnatia x Partizani Tirana

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Analysis from FK Egnatia x Partizani Tirana for the Albania Championship – 16 of January

🏟️ FK Egnatia X Partizani Tirana – Albania Championship
πŸ“… 16 of January, 2022 – 12:45
πŸ”΅ FK Egnatia – Winning probability: 15.31% | Fair line: 6.53
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.26% | Fair line: 2.92
πŸ”΄ Partizani Tirana – Winning probability: 50.43% | Fair line: 1.98
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FK Egnatia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FK Egnatia and Partizani Tirana.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Egnatia x Partizani Tirana

Is it worth betting on FK Egnatia?

πŸ”΅ FK Egnatia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $522.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$328.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $647.70
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$12.30.

Is it worth betting on Partizani Tirana?

πŸ”΄ Partizani Tirana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $424.25;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$75.75.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Egnatia x Partizani Tirana

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FK Egnatia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Egnatia x Partizani Tirana

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 FK Egnatia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 FK Egnatia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 FK Egnatia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Egnatia x Partizani Tirana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves