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Home » Predictions » Others » FK Jelgava x Rigas FS Betting tips for September 30 in Latvia Virsliga
Monday, 30 September 2024, 10h00 Latvia Virsliga
FK Jelgava FK Jelgava
PREDICTION Rigas FS Wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Rigas FS Rigas FS
ODD: @1.09 Don't miss this prediction!

FK Jelgava x Rigas FS Betting tips for September 30 in Latvia Virsliga

Our betting tip for FK Jelgava x Rigas FS, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
10:00
FK Jelgava FK Jelgava
15.00
X
8.50
Rigas FS Rigas FS
1.09

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FK Jelgava x Rigas FS:

🔮 Rigas FS wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rigas FS, you can win up to $545.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for FK Jelgava x Rigas FS:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Jelgava in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Rigas FS scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Rigas FS matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Rigas FS conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, FK Jelgava conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Rigas FS.
👉 Even as a visitor, Rigas FS won the last 5 head-to-head matches FK Jelgava´s territory

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on FK Jelgava x Rigas FS?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FK Jelgava x Rigas FS, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FK Jelgava x Rigas FS for the Latvia Virsliga – 30 of September

🏟️ FK Jelgava X Rigas FS – Latvia Virsliga
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 FK Jelgava – Winning probability: 0.05% | Fair line: 1840.79
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.55% | Fair line: 182.9
🔴 Rigas FS – Winning probability: 99.40% | Fair line: 1.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 FK Jelgava
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FK Jelgava and Rigas FS.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Jelgava x Rigas FS

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Jelgava?

🔵 FK Jelgava: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 15.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $75.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$915.00.

Should you bet on Rigas FS?

🔴 Rigas FS: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $89.10
  • And would lose other 10 times – losing -$10.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$79.10.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match FK Jelgava x Rigas FS

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 FK Jelgava
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Jelgava x Rigas FS

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.25 FK Jelgava, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +2.5 FK Jelgava.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +2.5 FK Jelgava.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Jelgava x Rigas FS

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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