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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac Betting tips for September 29 in Montenegro Prva Liga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 14h00 Montenegro Prva Liga
FK Mornar Bar FK Mornar Bar
PREDICTION No tip
OFK Petrovac OFK Petrovac
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FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac Betting tips for September 29 in Montenegro Prva Liga

Our betting tip for FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
14:00
FK Mornar Bar FK Mornar Bar
2.50
X
2.90
OFK Petrovac OFK Petrovac
2.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac

Important information for your tip for FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Mornar Bar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on OFK Petrovac in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $95.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, OFK Petrovac scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 OFK Petrovac matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac, with FK Mornar Bar as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, OFK Petrovac has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac for the Montenegro Prva Liga – 29 of September

🏟️ FK Mornar Bar X OFK Petrovac – Montenegro Prva Liga
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ FK Mornar Bar – Winning probability: 32.54% | Fair line: 3.07
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.57% | Fair line: 2.98
πŸ”΄ OFK Petrovac – Winning probability: 33.90% | Fair line: 2.95
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FK Mornar Bar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac

Is it worth betting on FK Mornar Bar?

πŸ”΅ FK Mornar Bar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$175.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $646.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$14.00.

Should you bet on OFK Petrovac?

πŸ”΄ OFK Petrovac: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $561.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$99.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FK Mornar Bar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 FK Mornar Bar, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 FK Mornar Bar.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Mornar Bar x OFK Petrovac

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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