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Home ยป Predictions ยป FK Viltis Vilnius x FK Dainava Alytus II Betting tips for September 29 in Lithuania II Lyga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Lithuania II Lyga
FK Viltis Vilnius FK Viltis Vilnius
PREDICTION FK Viltis Vilnius wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
FK Dainava Alytus II FK Dainava Alytus II
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction!

FK Viltis Vilnius x FK Dainava Alytus II Betting tips for September 29 in Lithuania II Lyga

Our betting tip for FK Viltis Vilnius x FK Dainava Alytus II, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
09:00
FK Viltis Vilnius FK Viltis Vilnius
1.67
X
4.20
FK Dainava Alytus II FK Dainava Alytus II
3.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FK Viltis Vilnius x FK Dainava Alytus II:

๐Ÿ”ฎ FK Viltis Vilnius wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Viltis Vilnius, you can win up to $835.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for FK Viltis Vilnius x FK Dainava Alytus II:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Viltis Vilnius in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Dainava Alytus II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ FK Dainava Alytus II did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against FK Dainava Alytus II, FK Viltis Vilnius scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 FK Viltis Vilnius matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 FK Dainava Alytus II matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, FK Viltis Vilnius conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the away team, FK Dainava Alytus II conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ FK Viltis Vilnius has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against FK Dainava Alytus II.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for FK Dainava Alytus II as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from FK Viltis Vilnius x FK Dainava Alytus II for the Lithuania II Lyga – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ FK Viltis Vilnius X FK Dainava Alytus II – Lithuania II Lyga
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
๐Ÿ”ต FK Viltis Vilnius – Winning probability: 66.95% | Fair line: 1.49
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.40% | Fair line: 6.1
๐Ÿ”ด FK Dainava Alytus II – Winning probability: 16.65% | Fair line: 6.01
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FK Viltis Vilnius
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FK Viltis Vilnius and FK Dainava Alytus II.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Viltis Vilnius x FK Dainava Alytus II

Is it worth betting on FK Viltis Vilnius?

๐Ÿ”ต FK Viltis Vilnius: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – profiting $448.90;
  • And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$118.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $512.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$328.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Dainava Alytus II?

๐Ÿ”ด FK Dainava Alytus II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $442.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$388.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Viltis Vilnius x FK Dainava Alytus II

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FK Viltis Vilnius
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Viltis Vilnius x FK Dainava Alytus II

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 FK Viltis Vilnius and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 FK Viltis Vilnius.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 FK Dainava Alytus II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Viltis Vilnius x FK Dainava Alytus II

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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