FK Volga Ulyanovsk x Metallurg Lipetsk Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Division 2
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29/9/2024 10:00 |
 FK Volga Ulyanovsk1.28 |
X 4.65 |
Metallurg Lipetsk  8.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FK Volga Ulyanovsk x Metallurg Lipetsk:
๐ฎ FK Volga Ulyanovsk wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Volga Ulyanovsk, you can win up to $640.00!
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Important information for your tip for FK Volga Ulyanovsk x Metallurg Lipetsk: ๐ If you had bet $100 on FK Volga Ulyanovsk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-282.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on FK Volga Ulyanovsk x Metallurg Lipetsk?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FK Volga Ulyanovsk x Metallurg Lipetsk, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from FK Volga Ulyanovsk x Metallurg Lipetsk for the Russia Division 2 – 29 of September
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๐๏ธ FK Volga Ulyanovsk X Metallurg Lipetsk – Russia Division 2 |
When the best bet on FK Volga Ulyanovsk x Metallurg Lipetsk is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Volga Ulyanovsk x Metallurg Lipetsk
Is betting on FK Volga Ulyanovsk worth it?
๐ต FK Volga Ulyanovsk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $249.20
- And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$139.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $328.50;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$581.50.
Should you bet on Metallurg Lipetsk?
๐ด Metallurg Lipetsk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 20 times – profiting $144.00;
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$836.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FK Volga Ulyanovsk x Metallurg Lipetsk
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 FK Volga Ulyanovsk
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Volga Ulyanovsk x Metallurg Lipetsk
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 FK Volga Ulyanovsk and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 FK Volga Ulyanovsk.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Volga Ulyanovsk x Metallurg Lipetsk
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
