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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» FK Zalgiris Vilnius x Suduva Marijampole Betting tips for April 16 in Lithuania A Lyga
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 16h30 Lithuania A Lyga
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
PREDICTION No tip
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
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FK Zalgiris Vilnius x Suduva Marijampole Betting tips for April 16 in Lithuania A Lyga

Our betting tip for FK Zalgiris Vilnius x Suduva Marijampole, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
πŸ“… 16/4/2025
16:30
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.47
X
3.90
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FK Zalgiris Vilnius x Suduva Marijampole:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for FK Zalgiris Vilnius x Suduva Marijampole

Important information for your tip for FK Zalgiris Vilnius x Suduva Marijampole:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Zalgiris Vilnius in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Suduva Marijampole in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-20.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Suduva Marijampole, FK Zalgiris Vilnius scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between FK Zalgiris Vilnius x Suduva Marijampole, with FK Zalgiris Vilnius as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ FK Zalgiris Vilnius has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Suduva Marijampole playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from FK Zalgiris Vilnius x Suduva Marijampole for the Lithuania A Lyga – 16 of April

🏟️ FK Zalgiris Vilnius X Suduva Marijampole – Lithuania A Lyga
πŸ“… 16 of April, 2025 – 16:30
πŸ”΅ FK Zalgiris Vilnius – Winning probability: 64.90% | Fair line: 1.54
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.56% | Fair line: 4.24
πŸ”΄ Suduva Marijampole – Winning probability: 11.54% | Fair line: 8.67
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Suduva Marijampole.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1304980 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Zalgiris Vilnius x Suduva Marijampole

Should you bet on FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

πŸ”΅ FK Zalgiris Vilnius: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $305.50
  • And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$44.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $696.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$64.00.

Is betting on Suduva Marijampole worth it?

πŸ”΄ Suduva Marijampole: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$280.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Zalgiris Vilnius x Suduva Marijampole

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Zalgiris Vilnius x Suduva Marijampole

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Zalgiris Vilnius x Suduva Marijampole

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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