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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป FK Zhenys x FC Astana Betting tips for September 29 in Kazakhstan Premier League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 06h00 Kazakhstan Premier League
FK Zhenys FK Zhenys
PREDICTION FC Astana Wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
FC Astana FC Astana
ODD: @1.28 Don't miss this prediction!

FK Zhenys x FC Astana Betting tips for September 29 in Kazakhstan Premier League

Our betting tip for FK Zhenys x FC Astana, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
06:00
FK Zhenys FK Zhenys
7.82
X
4.99
FC Astana FC Astana
1.28

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FK Zhenys x FC Astana:

๐Ÿ”ฎ FC Astana wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Astana, you can win up to $640.00!

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Important information for your tip for FK Zhenys x FC Astana:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Zhenys in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $210.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Astana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $233.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, FK Zhenys scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, FC Astana scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ FC Astana is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from FK Zhenys x FC Astana for the Kazakhstan Premier League – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ FK Zhenys X FC Astana – Kazakhstan Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 06:00
๐Ÿ”ต FK Zhenys – Winning probability: 1.05% | Fair line: 94.96
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.81% | Fair line: 26.25
๐Ÿ”ด FC Astana – Winning probability: 95.14% | Fair line: 1.05
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.75 FK Zhenys
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FK Zhenys x FC Astana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Zhenys x FC Astana

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Zhenys?

๐Ÿ”ต FK Zhenys: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $68.20;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$921.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $159.60;
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$800.40.

Should you bet on FC Astana?

๐Ÿ”ด FC Astana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 95.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 950 times – profiting $266.00;
  • And would have lost other 50 times – with a loss of -$50.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$216.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Zhenys x FC Astana

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.75 FK Zhenys
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Zhenys x FC Astana

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.75 FK Zhenys and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 FK Zhenys.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 FC Astana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Zhenys x FC Astana

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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