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Home » Predictions » Others » Flamengo x Boavista RJ Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 19h00 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Flamengo Flamengo
PREDICTION Flamengo wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Boavista RJ Boavista RJ
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

Flamengo x Boavista RJ Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Flamengo x Boavista RJ, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
19:00
Flamengo Flamengo
1.68
X
3.82
Boavista RJ Boavista RJ
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Flamengo x Boavista RJ:

🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $840.00!

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The main points for the tip for Flamengo x Boavista RJ:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $38.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Boavista RJ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Boavista RJ, Flamengo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Boavista RJ conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Flamengo has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Boavista RJ.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Flamengo x Boavista RJ?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Flamengo x Boavista RJ, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Flamengo x Boavista RJ for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 12 of January

🏟️ Flamengo X Boavista RJ – Brazil Campeonato Carioca
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Flamengo – Winning probability: 75.09% | Fair line: 1.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.54% | Fair line: 10.48
🔴 Boavista RJ – Winning probability: 15.37% | Fair line: 6.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Flamengo and Boavista RJ.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Flamengo x Boavista RJ

Is it worth betting on Flamengo?

🔵 Flamengo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $510.00;
  • And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$260.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $282.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$618.00.

Should you bet on Boavista RJ?

🔴 Boavista RJ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Flamengo x Boavista RJ

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Flamengo x Boavista RJ

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Flamengo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Flamengo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Flamengo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Flamengo x Boavista RJ

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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