📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Fleetwood Town x Rotherham
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Analysis from Fleetwood Town x Rotherham for the England League 1 – 15 of January
🏟️ Fleetwood Town X Rotherham – England League 1
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fleetwood Town and Rotherham.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Fleetwood Town x Rotherham
Is it a good idea to bet on Fleetwood Town?
🔵 Fleetwood Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $300.00;
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $527.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$303.00.
Is it worth betting on Rotherham?
🔴 Rotherham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $385.00
- And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$155.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fleetwood Town x Rotherham
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Fleetwood Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fleetwood Town x Rotherham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Fleetwood Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Fleetwood Town.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Rotherham.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fleetwood Town x Rotherham
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves