Fluminense x Flamengo Betting tips for March 13 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Fluminense x Flamengo, Thursday, 13/3/2025

📅 13/3/2025 00:30

Fluminense 3.70

X 3.30

Flamengo 1.91

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fluminense x Flamengo:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Fluminense x Flamengo

Some important points for the tip for Fluminense x Flamengo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-115.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $148.0. 👉 Flamengo did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Fluminense scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Fluminense x Flamengo, with Fluminense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Fluminense is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 8 road matches, Flamengo has not lost any of them.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Fluminense x Flamengo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fluminense x Flamengo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fluminense x Flamengo for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 13 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fluminense and Flamengo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1280484 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fluminense x Flamengo

Is it worth betting on Fluminense?

🔵 Fluminense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $378.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$482.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $759.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$89.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Flamengo?

🔴 Flamengo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $482.30
• And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$12.30 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fluminense x Flamengo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Fluminense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fluminense x Flamengo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Fluminense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Fluminense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Flamengo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fluminense x Flamengo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.